Watchlist

Active wars and high-risk theatres. This is a board, not a complete history of every clash. 23 Aug 2026.

TheatreIntensityWhat the desk is watching
UkraineHighFull-scale conventional war. Fronts in the east and south.
SudanHighSAF–RSF civil war. Darfur mass violence and city fighting.
Gaza / IsraelHighIsrael–Hamas war. Civilian harm. Fast-moving claims.
Yemen / Red SeaHighCivil war plus Houthi attacks on shipping.
Strait of HormuzHighMaritime corridor. UKMTO/JMIC advisories and major shipping incidents only.
MyanmarHighJunta vs PDF and ethnic armed groups.
DRC (east)HighM23 and other groups around the Kivus.
SahelHighMali, Burkina Faso, Niger. JNIM / ISGS and coups aftermath.
HaitiHighGang control and state collapse in and around the capital.
West BankMediumRaids, settler violence, militant attacks.
LebanonMediumHezbollah–Israel fire risk and internal strain.
SyriaMediumFragmented map. Strikes and local battles.
Lake ChadMediumBoko Haram / ISWAP in Nigeria and neighbours.
SomaliaMediumAl-Shabaab vs Somali and partner forces.
EthiopiaMediumAmhara and other local wars after Tigray.
AfghanistanMediumISKP and other attacks under Taliban rule.
Mozambique (Cabo Delgado)MediumIslamic State-linked insurgency in the north.
Iran theatreWatchRegional war risk. Only major, multi-source events.
LibyaWatchRival authorities. Occasional clashes.

Missing a theatre that is an active war? It can be added. The rule stays: major events only, confirmed from more than one open source.